Proof of Edge
Resolved case studies show where Q disagreed with the market, what it found, and what happened next. Each case preserves the forecast, market price, outcome, and verified return in the public record.
Q re-published NO into the panic.
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
The framework’s own mechanics pushed asset relief past May 31.
- Q forecast
- 6%
- Market price
- 14.5%
- Outcome
- NO
- Held return
- +17.0%
Case index
5 resolved casesThe deadline the market could not meet.
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal by end of May?
The physical reopening path could not clear before the deadline.
The market mistook a delay for a dead program.
Will Trump declassify new UFO files by June 15?
The market mistook a delay for a dead program. The files were still in production.
The market priced a closure the rules excluded.
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Israel's revised protocol absorbs missile fire with ground stops and passenger caps. The market was pricing a closure the resolution criteria excluded.
Q corrected before the market did.
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
The market was anchored on a controversy. Selection had become a fitness test Neymar was already passing.
The headlines outran the physical transfer.
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Every physical path to possession was too slow for the deadline.
Every case here is a resolved call with a public, dated record. Q does not win every market. The full track record holds the complete set, wins and losses.
See the track record