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Quotient Research LabForecasting · Markets · Public record

Research for what comes next

The lab is where Quotient tests itself in public. Q learns from every market it gets right or wrong, and we publish the stories the data tells.

Latest reportJuly 1, 2026Regulation · Prediction Markets

What US regulationwould mean forprediction markets

We read all 879 active Polymarket geopolitics markets against the CFTC's proposed rule. Most would be listable. Most of the volume would not.

Finding
$331M of volume would be hard to list