Will Bitcoin be at or above $77,750 on Sep 1?

Signal ended

Entry · YES56¢

PublishedSep 1

Sep 1 forecast

Bitcoin remains just above the $77,750 threshold with little time left, so a qualifying settlement is favored but far from guaranteed.

Bitcoin is about $326 above the strike with fewer than nine hours remaining, making an above-threshold settlement the more likely outcome. Recent readings have generally remained above $78,000, but negative spot order flow, cooling momentum and elevated leverage leave ample room for a late reversal.

Points to YES

Bitcoin currently has a narrow settlement-basis cushion above the $77,750 threshold.
On September 1, Bitcoin was $78,076.24 on the settlement basis, about $326 above the threshold with 8.9 hours remaining.
A closely watched long-term support level remains just below the settlement threshold.
On August 31, Bitcoin maintained its 50-week exponential moving average at $77,269 as support ahead of the monthly close.
Institutional fund flows remain supportive despite a recent slowdown.
On September 1, reported U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF inflows totaled $946 million for the latest week, although that was about half the preceding week's amount.

Points to NO

Bitcoin has recently traded below the threshold, showing that the remaining cushion can disappear during an ordinary daily move.
Bitcoin was $77,570 on August 30, down 0.85% for the day.
Spot sellers have begun outweighing buyers while trading volume has weakened.
On September 1, Glassnode reported that seven-day spot cumulative volume delta had fallen from $279.7 million to negative $67.2 million as spot volume declined from $8.7 billion to $6.2 billion.

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