Will Bitcoin be at or above $78,000 on Sep 4?
Signal ended
Entry · YES82¢
PublishedSep 4
Sep 4 forecast
Bitcoin remains above $78,000 with fewer than eight hours left, so a qualifying September 4 price is highly likely.
A qualifying September 4 Bitcoin price is highly likely because the settlement-basis price is $79,298.51 with little time remaining. Several September 4 snapshots were higher still, showing that Bitcoin has spent much of the day above the threshold. The main risk is that the current 1.64% cushion is small relative to recent intraday swings, while weak demand indicators leave room for a sudden reversal.
Points to YES
- Bitcoin has repeatedly traded above $78,000 on September 4, establishing a clear same-day buffer over the threshold.At 9:58 a.m. on September 4, Gemini quoted Bitcoin at $81,140.07.
- Bitcoin entered the final day with strong upward momentum rather than merely hovering around the threshold.At 6:00 a.m. UTC on September 4, Bitcoin was trading at $80,868 after rising 4.12% over the preceding 24 hours.
Points to NO
- The latest settlement-basis price has only a modest cushion, leaving the outcome exposed to an ordinary short-term Bitcoin swing.On September 4, the settlement-basis price was $79,298.51, about 1.64% above the $78,000 threshold.
- Recent buying strength may be fragile because apparent demand weakened even as Bitcoin moved higher.On September 4, Bitcoin's apparent demand had turned negative over the preceding 24 hours despite its move above $80,000.
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