Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?

ResolutionResolved YES

YES payout100¢

NO payout0¢

VenuePolymarket

Realized · held to resolution+37%$100 paper stake

Polymarket73¢ → 100¢

Our position · YES73¢ → 100¢

Signal endedOct 1

Forecast updated

Sep 3 forecast

Repeated delays and reports that Gemini 3.5 Pro was scrapped leave little runway, so September 30 arriving first is likely.

Google’s expected Gemini 3.5 Pro release repeatedly slipped, and recent reporting says it was delayed or scrapped after disappointing performance. Google has instead maintained a rapid Flash-release cadence, still describes Gemini 3.1 Pro as its latest app model, and has not announced a new public Pro launch. A forum report of an accessible Pro-labeled image model shows some surprise-release risk, but its limited API visibility and uncertain official status do not yet outweigh the broader evidence. The most likely outcome is that September 30 arrives before Google makes another qualifying Gemini Pro model publicly available.

Points to YES

Gemini 3.5 Pro reportedly was scrapped after failing to improve enough on Google’s Flash models.
On September 2, 2026, Android Authority reported that Google had internally scrapped Gemini 3.5 Pro.
Gemini 3.5 Pro has missed successive launch targets without receiving a replacement public date.
By August 14, 2026, Gemini 3.5 Pro had missed both its promised June launch and a mid-July date.
Google’s recent release activity has concentrated on Flash models rather than a new Pro model.
On September 2, 2026, Google introduced two Gemini 3.8 variants, both labeled Flash, describing this as its third Flash release in six weeks.

Points to NO

A Pro-labeled image model may already exist in a partially accessible API environment.
On September 1, 2026, a Google AI Developers Forum poster reported successfully using gemini-3-pro-image through the v1beta API, although it was absent from the v1 API.

Research and information only. Not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Markets involve risk, including loss of capital. Review venue rules and eligibility before trading.