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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution+32%$100 paper stake
Polymarket76¢ 100¢
Our position · YES76¢ 100¢
Signal endedSep 1
Forecast updatedSep 1
Aug 30 forecast

Live checkpoint routing and release-candidate reports point to imminent deployment, so Anthropic’s next Mythos-class model release by September 9 is likely despite meaningful uncertainty.

Multiple late-August reports describe release-candidate selection, new test identifiers, and live routing to newer checkpoints, indicating that deployment preparations are advanced. However, the evidence remains unofficial: rumored launch dates have passed, no stable identifier has emerged, and Anthropic has not announced a qualifying public product. Active testing across multiple surfaces still makes a near-term public release likely, while the short remaining window leaves meaningful risk of delay, restricted access, or nonqualifying branding.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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