Will Ethereum be at or above $2,490 on Sep 8?

ResolutionResolved NO

YES payout0¢

NO payout100¢

VenueKalshi

Realized · held to resolution+122%$100 paper stake

Kalshi55¢ → 0¢

Our position · NO45¢ → 100¢

Signal endedSep 8

Forecast updated

Sep 8 forecast

Ethereum is only 0.78% below the threshold with hours remaining.

At $2,470.80, Ethereum needs only a modest rally by 5 p.m. EDT, and yesterday’s range extended well above $2,490. Yet short-horizon momentum was weak, repeated pushes through the $2,500 area lacked follow-through, and the current price starts below the required level. Recent ETF inflows keep an upside move credible. The outcome is genuinely close, but a sub-$2,490 fix remains slightly more likely.

Points to NO

Ethereum starts the final stretch below the required settlement level.
On September 8, the settlement-basis price was $2,470.80, placing $2,490 about 0.78% higher.
Short-horizon momentum points to weak immediate buying pressure.
On September 7, Ethereum’s one-hour price was below its EMA20 and EMA50, while its MACD histogram was negative.
Repeated rejection above $2,500 limits confidence in a lasting rebound.
On September 7, Ethereum had repeatedly been rejected near $2,550, with its 50-week moving average capping three attempts.

Points to YES

Recent trading shows the threshold is reachable within ordinary intraday movement.
Over the 24 hours ending September 7 at 10:30 a.m. UTC, Ethereum traded between $2,473.01 and $2,532.72.
Recent ETF inflows provide a continuing demand tailwind.
By September 7, Ethereum ETF inflows had reached $130 million for the month.

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