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Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?

Realized · held to resolution100%$100 paper stake
Polymarket62¢
Our position · YES62¢
Signal endedSep 4
Forecast updatedSep 1
Aug 30 forecast

The official upload had 11 million views after 48 hours and should slow further, so a sub-20-million first week is favored but far from guaranteed.

Reports put the official upload at 11 million views after 48 hours, leaving nearly nine million more needed during the rest of the week to reach the threshold. The opening audience was enormous, but growth appears to have slowed after the first day. An age restriction, an earlier Netflix premiere, and widely viewed third-party copies all reduce how much broader interest reaches Rockstar’s official counter. A finish below 20 million is therefore more likely, though the franchise’s exceptional reach leaves meaningful uncertainty.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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