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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

Realized · 7-day hold+46%$100 paper stake
Polymarket60¢ 88¢
Our position · YES60¢ 88¢
Signal endedAug 28
Forecast updatedAug 28
Aug 21 forecast

A stronger Mythos-class successor already exists internally, so a qualifying public release by September 30 is likely despite unresolved launch readiness.

Anthropic already has a stronger Mythos-class model in development, leaving conversion to a public product as the main remaining step. Its earlier Fable 5 rollout shows that it can release a safeguarded Mythos-class variant while keeping a more restricted model private. A qualifying release is therefore likely, but the lack of external-release plans, incomplete evaluations, and absence of launch materials leave meaningful timing risk.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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