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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution+43%$100 paper stake
Polymarket70¢ 100¢
Our position · YES70¢ 100¢
Signal endedSep 1
Forecast updatedSep 1
Aug 28 forecast

Multiple user-routing reports point to an imminent Fable update, so a next Mythos-class model by the deadline is likely.

Fable 5.1 is the most plausible near-term candidate because several recent reports describe live routing or release preparation. Anthropic previously used Fable as the publicly accessible form of its Mythos-class technology, providing a direct path to a qualifying launch. The outcome is likely with meaningful uncertainty: the routing reports remain unconfirmed, official materials still omit Fable 5.1, and Anthropic’s known stronger internal successor is not being prepared for external release.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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