Will Bitcoin be at or above $77,500 on Sep 4?
Signal ended
Entry · YES55¢
PublishedSep 1
Sep 1 forecast
Bitcoin is already just above $77,500 after a powerful August rally, so a September 4 settlement at or above that level is favored but far from guaranteed.
The threshold sits only 0.47% below the current settlement-basis price, so Bitcoin does not need another rally to finish above it. August’s strong advance provides support, but ETF outflows, weakening momentum, and elevated leverage leave the narrow cushion vulnerable. An above-threshold settlement is the more likely outcome, though a sharp move in either direction remains plausible before September 4.
Points to YES
- Bitcoin begins the final window above the $77,500 threshold, giving YES a narrow starting cushion.On September 1, Bitcoin was priced at $78,763.50.
- Bitcoin enters the settlement window with substantial positive momentum from August’s rally.On August 31, Bitcoin’s August advance measured 23.5%.
Points to NO
- Spot ETF demand weakened just before the settlement window, reducing a recent source of buying support.A nine-day U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF inflow streak ended with net outflows of $201.9 million on August 28.
- Short-term momentum is cooling while Bitcoin trades close to the threshold.Bitcoin’s moving-average convergence divergence had moved below its signal line by September 1.
Research and information only. Not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Markets involve risk, including loss of capital. Review venue rules and eligibility before trading.