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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution+32%$100 paper stake
Polymarket76¢ 100¢
Our position · YES76¢ 100¢
Signal endedSep 1
Forecast updatedSep 1
Aug 30 forecast

Reported silent routing and release-candidate activity indicate launch preparations, so Anthropic releasing a next Mythos-class model by September 9 is likely.

Multiple late-August reports describe new checkpoints, release-candidate selection, and silent routing to some Claude users, all consistent with final launch preparations. Anthropic has not confirmed the reported model, however, and the sightings still lack a public model card, stable identifier, pricing page, or broad access. A separate internal Mythos-class model reportedly remains unfinished and unavailable externally, but it need not be the candidate behind the Fable 5.1 activity. The next Mythos-class release is likely but carries meaningful uncertainty because only a short window remains and the apparent rollout could still be delayed or withdrawn.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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