Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Flanagan is highly likely to win the nomination because she holds the DFL endorsement, leads primary polls, and the Aug. 11 vote is three days away.
Peggy Flanagan is highly likely to become the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Minnesota. She won the DFL endorsement in late May, giving her the party’s institutional backing, while her opponent Roy Craig chose to compete in the Aug. 11 primary without seeking that endorsement. National progressive figures have rallied behind Flanagan, reinforcing her base enthusiasm. A July 23-24 PPP poll of likely Democratic primary voters showed her leading Craig 46% to 32%, with strong net favorability, and her margin had widened from the prior month. An Aug. 6 Axios report also frames her as the polling leader heading into the vote. A separate July 24 KSTP/SurveyUSA poll showed a 40-40 tie with about 16% undecided, which introduces real but limited uncertainty; still, the overall pattern of surveys, endorsements, and party alignment favors Flanagan. The election is Aug. 11, 2026, and no results have been reported as of Aug. 8, but the resolution window is immediate. There is no credible indication the primary will be canceled. Given the endorsement advantage, the favorable polling trajectory, and the proximity of the vote, the outcome is highly likely to be a Flanagan victory, with Craig’s path requiring a sharp, unanticipated break among undecideds.
- Flanagan secured the DFL endorsement in late May, giving her the party’s official backing and organizational infrastructure heading into the primary.Flanagan won the DFL endorsement in late May; Craig is competing in the Aug. 11 primary without seeking it.
- A late-July PPP poll of likely Democratic primary voters showed Flanagan leading Craig by 14 points with strong net favorability, reinforcing her front-runner status.A July 23-24 PPP poll of 672 likely Democratic primary voters shows Flanagan leading Craig 46%-32% (14 points), up from a 7-point lead a month earlier; Flanagan net favorability +32.
- National progressive leaders including Sanders, Warren, and Smith have rallied behind Flanagan, boosting turnout and visibility among the Democratic base.National progressive figures (Sanders, Warren, Smith) have rallied for Flanagan; Craig emphasizes electability and has endorsements including First Lady Gwen Walz, while Gov. Walz remains neutral.
- A July 24 KSTP/SurveyUSA poll showed the race tied at 40%-40% with about 16% undecided, indicating meaningful residual uncertainty despite other surveys.A July 24 KSTP/SurveyUSA poll shows the DFL Senate primary neck-and-neck at 40%-40%, with Flanagan +4 and Craig -1 from prior month; about 16% undecided.
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