Las Vegas Aces89vs.Indiana Fever won99

WNBAFinal24h volume $389k

Market price

Sep 29 forecast

Indiana’s dominant regular-season offense and two wins in three meetings with Las Vegas carry substantial weight, so a Fever victory is favored.

The latest evidence leans against Indiana because Las Vegas dominated the series opener and entered the postseason in stronger form. Still, Indiana had the league’s best regular-season offense, won the season series, and returns to a home court where it performed well. Those broader matchup strengths outweigh the opener without erasing the danger posed by Las Vegas’s defense, road success, and A’ja Wilson. A Fever victory is favored.

Points to Fever

Indiana demonstrated a sustained matchup advantage by winning the regular-season series against Las Vegas.
By August 6, Indiana had won two of its three regular-season games against Las Vegas.
Indiana brings the league’s strongest regular-season offense into a must-win home game.
On September 24, Indiana finished the regular season with the WNBA’s best offensive rating, more than two points per 100 possessions ahead of Las Vegas.
Home court strengthens Indiana’s prospects of recovering from the opening loss.
As of September 24, Indiana had compiled a 15-7 home record during the regular season.

Points to Aces

Las Vegas enters Game 2 after comprehensively outplaying Indiana in the series opener.
On September 27, Las Vegas beat Indiana 102-85 while shooting 59% and leading by as many as 27 points.
Indiana’s backcourt depth has been reduced by a season-ending injury.
On September 26, Tyasha Harris was ruled out for the remainder of the season with a broken left fibula.
Las Vegas has repeatedly shown it can win away from home.
By September 24, Las Vegas had posted a 16-6 road record during the regular season.

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