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Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution+22%$100 paper stake
Polymarket82¢ 100¢
Our position · YES82¢ 100¢
Signal endedSep 4
Forecast updatedSep 1
Aug 29 forecast

Astra has reportedly reached private customer previews amid near-term launch reports, so its public release by the deadline is highly likely.

Astra remains officially upcoming, without a public date, and unfinished security work could still disrupt the schedule. However, reported VIP demonstrations suggest a mature product, outside reports cluster around a September launch, and OpenAI recently moved another model from restricted preview to general availability quickly despite security testing. The likeliest path is therefore a sudden announcement followed by public access, rather than a long promotional buildup.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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