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Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution100%$100 paper stake
Polymarket79¢
Our position · YES79¢
Signal endedSep 4
Forecast updatedSep 2

OpenAI's release clearance and imminent-launch messaging point to immediate availability, so Astra's September 3 public launch is highly likely.

The visible evidence leans against an exact September 3 launch: as of September 2, Astra remained unreleased and undated after additional safety work. Still, OpenAI says it is coming soon, has judged severe-harm risk sufficiently controlled for release, and has prompted reporting that launch preparations are nearly complete. Major model launches can become public with little advance notice, leaving a launch-day announcement as the strongest route to the highly likely outcome.

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