Will Bitcoin be at or above $78,500 on Aug 30?
Signal ended
Entry · NO50¢
PublishedAug 30
Aug 30 forecast
Bitcoin remains below $78,500 after a sharp retreat and has little time to recover, so an August 30 settlement at or above the strike is unlikely.
Bitcoin is currently $78,130.969, just 0.47% below the strike, but several August 30 readings and the preceding day’s high remained under $78,500. The recent retreat from above $81,000 and stalled rebound outweigh the month’s strong advance with little time remaining. An August 30 settlement at or above $78,500 is therefore unlikely but still live.
Points to NO
- Bitcoin remains below the strike with only hours left.At 11:00 a.m. KST on August 30, Bitcoin traded at $78,054.52, below $78,500.
- Short-term momentum weakened sharply after Bitcoin traded above $81,000.On August 30, Bitcoin was reported to have retreated into the $77,000–$78,000 range after reaching a recent high near $81,280.
- Recent upside attempts have stalled short of the threshold.On August 30, Coinbase reported a preceding 24-hour high of $78,334.44, still below $78,500.
Points to YES
- Bitcoin has traded close enough to the strike for a short rebound to keep the outcome live.At 4:09 a.m. on August 30, one Bitcoin converted to $78,184.04, about $316 below the threshold.
- The recent rally demonstrates enough volatility to carry Bitcoin well beyond the strike.On August 28, the Bitcoin Real-Time index traded as high as $81,373.39.
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