Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?

The Israel-Iran ceasefire is probable through Aug 3, since both sides have avoided direct strikes for a week and Israel remains focused on Gaza and Lebanon with no imminent attack signals.

Over the past week, Israel and Iran have not exchanged direct strikes; Israel is sidelined from the US-Iran conflict and Iran's operations target Hormuz and US forces. With just two days remaining until the Aug 3 deadline, there are no reported preparations or signals of an imminent direct strike. The rules require a specific qualifying air or missile strike to break the ceasefire, and none have occurred. While a surprise attack remains genuinely possible, the short window and stable strategic posture make continuation probable. The forecast expects the ceasefire likely remains intact.