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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution+39%$100 paper stake
Polymarket72¢ 100¢
Our position · YES72¢ 100¢
Signal endedSep 1
Forecast updatedSep 1
Aug 28 forecast

Apparent live routing suggests Fable 5.1 is already in rollout preparation, so a qualifying public release by the deadline is likely.

Reports of users being routed to a distinct Fable 5.1 suggest that deployment testing may already be underway. Anthropic also has an established path for distributing Mythos capabilities broadly through a safeguarded Fable version. That makes a near-term qualifying launch likely, although the testing remains unconfirmed, no launch is yet listed officially, and the best-documented internal successor lacked completed release evaluations.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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