Will Ethereum be at or above $2,480 on Aug 30?

ResolutionResolved YES

YES payout100¢

NO payout0¢

VenueKalshi

Realized · held to resolution−100%$100 paper stake

Kalshi41¢ → 100¢

Our position · NO59¢ → 0¢

Signal endedAug 30

Forecast updated

Aug 30 forecast

Same-day prices and highs have remained below $2,480, so Ethereum reaching that threshold at the 5 p.m. EDT evaluation is unlikely.

The settlement-basis price is $2,465.05, just 0.61% below the threshold, so an above-threshold print remains possible. However, every cited same-day venue quote was below $2,480, and reported daily highs also fell short. Recent spot selling, repeated resistance, and weak volume further weigh against a late recovery. Strong ETF inflows and the narrow price gap preserve a live upside path, but an evaluation below $2,480 is the more likely outcome.

Points to NO

Ethereum remains below the settlement threshold with only hours left.
At 15:55:50 UTC on August 30, Ethereum traded at $2,456.11, below $2,480.
Ethereum has not demonstrated an intraday break above $2,480.
As of 15:55:50 UTC on August 30, Ethereum's 24-hour high was $2,466.12.
Repeated failures at higher resistance indicate weakened short-term momentum.
By August 30, Ethereum had made three unsuccessful approaches to the $2,530–$2,550 area during the preceding week.

Points to YES

The remaining price gap is small enough for ordinary intraday volatility to bridge.
On August 30, the settlement-basis price was $2,465.05, only 0.61% below the threshold.
Sustained institutional inflows provide underlying buying support.
On August 28, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recorded $225.8 million in net inflows, extending a nine-session positive-flow run to $1.42 billion.

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