Indiana Fever83vs.Las Vegas Aces won94

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Sep 30 forecast

Indiana’s interior dominance and Caitlin Clark’s creation transformed Game 2, so an Indiana victory is about as likely as not.

Indiana’s latest performance supplies the clearest game-specific signal: Clark created shots, Boston and Mitchell converted, and the Fever dominated the paint. Las Vegas counters with home court, stronger recent form, an elite offense, and a decisive Game 1 victory. Indiana’s favorable season series keeps an Indiana victory roughly as likely as not, with the Aces’ home response the main obstacle.

Points to Fever

Indiana controlled the interior while tying the series in Game 2.
On September 29, Indiana beat Las Vegas 99-89 and held a 58-26 scoring advantage in the paint.
Indiana’s leading trio produced enough scoring and creation to overwhelm Las Vegas.
On September 29, Caitlin Clark, Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston combined for 75 of Indiana’s 99 points in Game 2.
Indiana has repeatedly shown it can beat Las Vegas, including on the road.
As of September 27, Indiana had won two of three 2026 regular-season meetings, including its first two games in Las Vegas.

Points to Aces

Las Vegas enters with stronger recent form, home results and offensive efficiency.
As of September 30, Las Vegas was 8-2 in its previous 10 games, averaged 95.6 points over that span and held a 15-7 home record.
Las Vegas has already demonstrated a dominant home-game blueprint against Indiana in this series.
On September 27, Las Vegas won Game 1 by 102-85 after leading by as many as 27 points.

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