Will Ethereum be at or above $2,450 on Aug 25?

ResolutionResolved NO

YES payout0¢

NO payout100¢

VenueKalshi

Realized · held to resolution−100%$100 paper stake

Kalshi70¢ → 0¢

Our position · YES70¢ → 0¢

Signal endedAug 25

Forecast updatedAug 25

Ethereum is already trading above the threshold with fresh buying support, so a price of at least $2,450 at the deadline is likely.

Current readings place Ethereum above the required level, and recent spot demand and investment inflows support that position. The affirmative outcome is likely, though the modest cushion, wide trading ranges and overbought conditions leave meaningful risk of a late drop.

Points to YES

Ethereum’s current position above $2,450 gives it a direct cushion that makes an above-threshold deadline reading more likely.
At 08:25:28 GMT on August 25, the Nasdaq Ether Reference Price was $2,497.28, which was $47.28 above the threshold.
Persistent spot buying with neutral funding suggests the rally has support beyond leveraged speculation, improving its chances of holding through the deadline.
On August 24, an attributed update said spot cumulative volume delta had risen by roughly 286,000 ETH since the breakout while open interest was repeatedly flushed lower and funding remained neutral.
Strong investment-product inflows add underlying demand that can help absorb selling and keep Ethereum above the threshold.
An August 25 report said U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recorded about $115.5 million of net inflows on August 24 after approximately $697.2 million during their strongest week of 2026.

Points to NO

Recent volatility has repeatedly carried Ethereum below $2,450, leaving a plausible path to a late threshold breach despite its current lead.
CoinMarketCap displayed Ethereum at $2,488.72 with a 24-hour range of $2,436.47 to $2,531.74.
Overbought momentum and an incomplete technical reset increase the risk of profit-taking before the deadline.
An August 25 report said Ethereum was holding near $2,500 while its 14-day RSI remained overbought and a meaningful reset after the sharp rally had not occurred.

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