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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution+33%$100 paper stake
Polymarket75¢ 100¢
Our position · YES75¢ 100¢
Signal endedSep 1
Forecast updatedSep 1
Aug 30 forecast

Reported silent routing and release-candidate testing indicate advanced launch preparations, so Anthropic’s next Mythos-class model release by September 9 is likely.

The visible evidence is suggestive rather than conclusive: several late-August reports describe early-access codenames and silent routing, but no official announcement or stable public model artifacts had appeared by August 29. A release by September 9 is still likely because the activity resembles late-stage rollout preparation, reportedly spans multiple Claude surfaces, and follows Anthropic’s statement that more capable models were coming within months. The main risk is that these are controlled tests or a model withheld pending safety work, neither of which would qualify as public access.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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