Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 87.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026?

ResolutionResolved YES

YES payout100¢

NO payout0¢

VenueKalshi

Realized · held to resolution+52%$100 paper stake

Kalshi66¢ → 100¢

Our position · YES66¢ → 100¢

Signal endedSep 1

Forecast updated

Sep 1 forecast

October WTI is already above $87.49 with only hours remaining, so an official September 1 settlement above the threshold is likely.

The October contract has crossed the threshold in intraday trading after reaching $88.13, while renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities support elevated crude prices. The cushion remains narrow, the prior settlement was below the threshold, and the official September 1 settlement is not yet available, leaving meaningful risk of a late reversal.

Points to YES

October WTI has moved above the settlement threshold with little time remaining.
At 5:52 a.m. EDT on September 1, 2026, CNBC displayed the October 2026 WTI contract at $87.93 after it traded as high as $88.13.
Renewed U.S.-Iran fighting is supporting concern about additional regional oil-flow disruptions.
On September 1, 2026, renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities were reported to be raising concern about further regional energy-flow disruptions.

Points to NO

The contract began the final day materially below the required level.
The October 2026 WTI contract settled at $85.76 per barrel on August 31, 2026, despite rising $2.36 that day.
The threshold lies just above a price ceiling that repeatedly stopped WTI during August.
On August 31, 2026, FXStreet assessed that a ceiling near $87 had reversed every WTI advance attempted during August.

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