Will Bitcoin be at or above $79,000 on Sep 8?

ResolutionResolved NO

YES payout0¢

NO payout100¢

VenueKalshi

Realized · held to resolution−100%$100 paper stake

Kalshi50¢ → 0¢

Our position · YES50¢ → 0¢

Signal endedSep 8

Forecast updated

Sep 8 forecast

Bitcoin is already above $79,000 with less than a day remaining, so a September 8 settlement at or above the threshold is favored.

Bitcoin stands near $79,377, leaving only a narrow cushion over the threshold with less than a day remaining. The visible short-term evidence tilts bearish: momentum weakened, $80,000 repeatedly acted as resistance, and the latest session included a sharp retreat. Even so, Bitcoin has recently defended $79,000, remains above key daily trend measures, and needs only to preserve most of its current level, making an above-threshold settlement favored.

Points to YES

Bitcoin is currently above the settlement threshold, giving YES a small but direct cushion.
On September 8, 2026, Bitcoin's settlement-basis price was $79,377.1057, roughly $377 above the $79,000 floor.
The latest selloff tested the threshold closely without breaking it.
On September 7, 2026, Bitcoin's session low was $79,013, remaining just above the $79,000 threshold.
The broader daily trend remains constructive, offering support beneath weak intraday momentum.
On September 7, 2026, Bitcoin remained above its 20-day, 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages.

Points to NO

Recent intraday price action shows enough downside momentum to erase the narrow cushion quickly.
On September 7, 2026, Bitcoin fell from roughly $80,200-$80,537 to $79,013 before recovering toward $79,500-$79,520 on lower volume.
Short-horizon trend measures remain bearish despite the price holding above the threshold.
On September 7, 2026, Bitcoin's one-hour price was below its 20-period and 50-period exponential moving averages.

Research and information only. Not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Markets involve risk, including loss of capital. Review venue rules and eligibility before trading.