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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

Realized · 7-day hold+13%$100 paper stake
Polymarket82¢ 93¢
Our position · YES82¢ 93¢
Signal endedAug 31
Forecast updatedAug 28
Aug 24 forecast

Anthropic already has stronger Mythos successors and says more capable models are coming within months, so a qualifying public release is highly likely.

Anthropic has multiple successor systems in development, has publicly indicated that more capable models are coming within months, and has already shown that it can package Mythos technology for broad use under the Fable name. Improving safeguards make that public-release route more plausible than opening direct access to the less restricted Mythos product. The absence of an announced candidate and incomplete testing create meaningful timing risk, but the development pipeline and established Fable pathway make a qualifying release highly likely.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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