Florida Gators17vs.Missouri Tigers won45

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Sep 26 forecast

Missouri combines home field with a favorable recent series record, so a Florida victory is less likely than not.

Missouri has the stronger situational case, having won four of six home meetings against Florida while opening this season with efficient quarterback play and a productive rushing attack. Florida counters with prolific offensive production and led No. 4 Ole Miss at halftime in the latest partial record, showing enough strength to make an upset credible. The evidence leans toward Missouri at home, but Florida’s offensive ceiling keeps a Gators victory a real possibility.

Points to Missouri

Missouri has performed well against Florida at home.
As of September 22, Missouri had won four of its six home games against Florida.
Missouri enters with an efficient, mistake-free passing attack.
Through three games as of September 26, Austin Simmons had completed 69.1% of his passes for 652 yards, eight touchdowns and no interceptions.
Florida’s defense and discipline recently created openings for an opponent.
Florida allowed 39 points and committed 16 penalties for 138 yards at Auburn on September 19.

Points to Florida

Florida’s offense has produced at an elite pace through its opening games.
As of September 23, Florida was averaging 54 points and 544.3 total yards per game through three games.
Florida showed it could control a highly ranked opponent, although the available record covers only one half.
Florida led No. 4 Ole Miss 17-6 at halftime on September 26 after outgaining the Rebels 233-148.

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