Will Bitcoin be at or above $77,750 on Sep 1?
Signal ended
Entry · YES30¢
PublishedSep 1
Sep 1 forecast
Bitcoin has repeatedly traded above $77,750 today and remains within 0.32% of it, so an at-or-above-threshold settlement is favored but far from guaranteed.
Bitcoin is currently near $77,503, only 0.32% below the $77,750 threshold, after several September 1 readings above it. Recent ETF inflows support demand, but weakening spot buying and elevated leverage increase the risk of an abrupt move in either direction. The narrow gap and repeated intraday recoveries make an at-or-above-threshold settlement favored but far from guaranteed.
Points to YES
- Bitcoin has repeatedly traded above the settlement threshold during September 1.At 5:30 p.m. on September 1, Bitcoin traded at $77,851 on Binance's USDT market, above $77,750.
- Strong recent ETF inflows provide underlying demand support.U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $3.52 billion in net inflows during August 2026, their largest monthly total of the year.
Points to NO
- Bitcoin currently sits just below the threshold with little time remaining.On September 1, with about 4.7 hours remaining, the settlement-basis price was $77,503.31, or 0.32% below $77,750.
- Spot-market buying pressure has weakened ahead of settlement.By August 31, Bitcoin spot cumulative volume delta had fallen 124% over seven days, from $279.7 million to negative $67.2 million.
- Bitcoin has already shown it can fall materially below the threshold today.During the Asian morning on September 1, Bitcoin traded as low as roughly $77,200, below the $77,750 threshold.
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