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US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Realized · 7-day hold2%$100 paper stake
Polymarket38¢ 40¢
Our position · NO62¢ 60¢
Signal endedJul 24
Forecast updatedAug 15
Jul 17 forecast

An official extension of the US-Iran 60-day negotiation period is very unlikely because Iran explicitly rejects the underlying MOU as non-binding.

With Iran explicitly rejecting the MOU as non-binding, denying negotiations, and mediators confirming collapsed talks, a mutual, declarative, official extension of the specific… Whether both sides simultaneously reverse current positions—Tehran dropping its void claim and Washington backing away from pressure—to… Iranian Foreign Ministry states no plans for negotiations and that the MoU is no longer binding, rejecting Trump’s talk claims Mediators and reports confirm the initial ceasefire agreement has collapsed and efforts to resume talks have not restored the negotiation framework

Points to NO
  • Iranian Foreign Ministry states no plans for negotiations and that the MoU is no longer binding, rejecting Trump’s talk claims
    Evidence
  • Mediators and reports confirm the initial ceasefire agreement has collapsed and efforts to resume talks have not restored the negotiation framework
    Evidence

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