Will Bitcoin be at or above $77,500 on Aug 29?
Signal ended
Entry · YES60¢
PublishedAug 29
Aug 29 forecast
Bitcoin has recovered just above the cutoff after a sharp selloff, so an Aug. 29 price at or above $77,500 is favored but far from guaranteed.
Several Aug. 29 readings place Bitcoin above $77,500, and the recovery from sub-$77,000 lows supports an above-threshold outcome. However, the cushion is thin, momentum recently turned bearish, and hawkish monetary-policy remarks have already produced swings large enough to reverse the result quickly.
Points to YES
- A current reading above the threshold gives Bitcoin a modest cushion that raises the chance of remaining above it at the relevant observation.On Aug. 29, Bitcoin traded at $77,618 at 12:45 UTC, within a 24-hour range of $76,962 to $79,992.
- The rebound from the session low shows buyers can reclaim the threshold, improving the path to an above-threshold reading.On Aug. 29, Bitcoin traded at $77,813 after recovering from a session low of $76,845.
Points to NO
- The extremely small margin above the cutoff leaves ordinary intraday movement capable of producing a below-threshold result.On Aug. 29, Bitcoin was reported at $77,551.04 after reaching a daily low of $77,350.58.
- Strong downward momentum raises the risk that selling resumes before the relevant reading.On Aug. 29, Bitcoin had fallen 3.5% to $77,417 after retreating from an intraday high of $81,148.
- Hawkish monetary-policy messaging can prolong pressure on risk-sensitive assets and trigger another threshold-breaking move.On Aug. 28, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said inflation remained too high and policymakers had more work to do if price pressures did not ease toward target.
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