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Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution+43%$100 paper stake
Polymarket30¢
Our position · NO70¢ 100¢
Signal endedSep 1
Forecast updatedAug 30
Aug 28 forecast

Anthropic is still restricting advanced Mythos access and has announced no successor, so a generally available Mythos-class release by the deadline is unlikely but still live.

Anthropic’s latest official communication emphasizes controlled access to existing Mythos capabilities rather than a new public model. Reports of Fable 5.1 testing keep a surprise release possible, but they remain unconfirmed and conflict with indications that observed candidates may belong to other model classes. Anthropic’s safety-driven restrictions and incomplete release preparations for stronger internal models further weigh against a qualifying launch during the short remaining window.

Points to NO

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