Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 80.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 27, 2026?
Signal ended
Entry · YES71¢
PublishedAug 26
Aug 26 forecast
October WTI enters the final session with a meaningful price cushion, so an above-$80.99 settlement is likely with meaningful uncertainty.
October WTI settled at $82.23 on August 26, leaving room above the threshold after recovering from a steep intraday decline. Persistently constrained Gulf oil flows support prices, while corridor negotiations and the week’s sharp selloff create meaningful risk of a sudden reversal.
Points to YES
- The contract enters the final session above the threshold, requiring another material decline for YES to fail.On August 26, October WTI settled at $82.23 per barrel, $1.24 above the $80.99 threshold.
- A strong recovery from the session’s lows suggests buyers may defend the contract against another threshold-breaking decline.On August 26, October WTI settled only $0.13 lower after falling more than 3% earlier in the session.
- Persistently constrained Gulf oil flows preserve a disruption premium that can keep WTI above the threshold.On August 26, crude flows remained extremely constrained and petroleum-product supplies continued tightening despite diplomacy-related price declines.
Points to NO
- Iran-Oman corridor discussions could extend the recent de-escalation-driven selloff and erase the remaining cushion.On August 26, Iran and Oman reported a revenue-sharing and exit-corridor arrangement, although reopening still required US acceptance.
- The recent steep decline shows enough short-term volatility to carry WTI through the threshold in a single session.By August 26, crude futures had fallen 8.7% over three sessions, from near $88 to about $80.30, with technical support identified near $79.
Research and information only. Not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Markets involve risk, including loss of capital. Review venue rules and eligibility before trading.