U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

With only a day remaining and no confirmed direct U.S. operation on foreign soil reported, the result is about even, driven mainly by the absence of visible mobilization against a possible hidden final-day action.

There is minimal time left and no visible sign of a direct U.S. anti-cartel operation outside the country, with recent U.S. actions limited to financial sanctions and maritime strikes rather than direct ground participation or foreign-soil strikes within the window. A surprise in the final day remains genuinely possible but is unsupported by any mobilization or diplomatic indicators. Therefore the outcome is about even between no qualifying operation materializing and an unannounced last-minute action.