Will Bitcoin be at or above $77,500 on Aug 31?

ResolutionResolved YES

YES payout100¢

NO payout0¢

VenueKalshi

Realized · held to resolution+32%$100 paper stake

Kalshi76¢ → 100¢

Our position · YES76¢ → 100¢

Signal endedAug 31

Forecast updated

Aug 30 forecast

Bitcoin is already above $77,500 with less than a day remaining, so an August 31 price at or above the threshold is likely.

Bitcoin stands above $77,500 with only hours remaining, and its broader August rally and continued spot demand support another above-threshold reading. The cushion is narrow, however: Bitcoin recently traded just below the threshold, while stretched momentum, nearby resistance and macroeconomic pressure leave meaningful downside risk.

Points to YES

Bitcoin is currently above the $77,500 threshold.
On August 30, Coinbase converted one Bitcoin to $78,184.04, above $77,500.
Bitcoin has stabilized above the threshold after its recent pullback.
An August 31 report placed Bitcoin around $78,000–$79,000 and described it as stabilized near $78,000.
Strong recent spot demand supports the elevated price level.
On August 30, reported spot Bitcoin ETF inflows exceeded $2.5 billion over seven sessions as Bitcoin rose from roughly $62,000 to $80,000.

Points to NO

The threshold has already been breached during recent intraday trading.
During the 24 hours preceding Coinbase's August 30 snapshot, Bitcoin traded as low as $77,469.96, slightly below $77,500.
Stretched momentum and nearby resistance raise the risk of another pullback.
On August 30, Bitcoin's daily RSI was about 71 and its weekly RSI about 81, both described as stretched.

Research and information only. Not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Markets involve risk, including loss of capital. Review venue rules and eligibility before trading.