Will Ethereum be at or above $2,490 on Sep 9?

ResolutionResolved NO

YES payout0¢

NO payout100¢

VenueKalshi

Realized · held to resolution−100%$100 paper stake

Kalshi46¢ → 0¢

Our position · YES46¢ → 0¢

Signal endedSep 9

Forecast updated

Sep 9 forecast

Ethereum is currently just above the threshold with little time remaining, so a $2,490-or-higher settlement is favored.

Ethereum’s settlement-basis price of $2,498.796 provides a small but important cushion with only hours remaining. Recent trading has been roughly stable, but the price was below $2,490 earlier today and repeatedly struggled to hold above $2,500, leaving substantial risk in either direction. The limited time for a sustained decline makes a finish at or above $2,490 favored.

Points to YES

Ethereum is currently above the $2,490 settlement threshold, giving YES a narrow lead late in the window.
On September 9, the settlement-basis price was $2,498.796, about 0.35% above the threshold with fewer than seven hours remaining.
The broader daily trend remains constructive despite cooling momentum.
A September 9 technical assessment described Ethereum’s daily trend structure as bullish while noting that momentum was cooling.

Points to NO

The cushion above the threshold is small enough for an ordinary intraday move to erase.
On September 9, Ethereum was only about 0.35% above the $2,489.99 floor strike on the settlement basis.
Ethereum showed short-term weakness and traded below the threshold earlier today.
At publication on September 9, Ethereum was $2,487.69, while its 15-minute price remained below the 20-, 50-, and 200-period exponential moving averages.
Repeated failures to sustain recoveries above $2,500 show selling pressure near the level needed for a safer cushion.
From the start of September through September 8, Ethereum repeatedly failed to sustain recoveries above $2,500.

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