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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution100%$100 paper stake
Polymarket46¢ 100¢
Our position · NO54¢
Signal endedSep 1
Forecast updatedSep 1
Aug 28 forecast

Anthropic has not confirmed a successor and still restricts Mythos access, so a qualifying public model release by September 1 is a meaningful underdog.

Recent reports suggest Anthropic may be testing a Fable successor, leaving a credible path to a rapid launch. Yet the company has neither confirmed that model nor listed a later Mythos-class release, while its treatment of powerful Mythos models remains cautious and access-restricted. With little time for testing, safety approval, announcement, and general availability, a qualifying release remains a meaningful underdog despite the possibility of abrupt news.

Points to NO
Points to YES

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