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Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?

Realized · held to resolution100%$100 paper stake
Polymarket74¢
Our position · YES74¢
Signal endedSep 4
Forecast updatedSep 1
Aug 29 forecast

The first-day report remained well short of the threshold amid distribution frictions, so a below-20-million first week is likely.

The latest reported milestone put the official upload at 8.1 million views in under a day, leaving considerable ground to cover as launch traffic begins to fade. Age restrictions, an earlier Netflix premiere, reaction streams, and Rockstar’s downloadable version all divert or limit official YouTube viewing. GTA’s enormous audience and the strong opening still create meaningful uncertainty, but finishing below the threshold is the more likely outcome.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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