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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution+56%$100 paper stake
Polymarket64¢ 100¢
Our position · YES64¢ 100¢
Signal endedSep 1
Forecast updatedSep 1
Aug 31 forecast

Anthropic has identified a stronger Mythos-class successor already in heavy internal use, so a public release by September 2 is likely.

Visible evidence leans against an imminent launch because Anthropic recently had no plans for an external Model 2 release and had not completed its usual testing. Even so, Model 2 is already officially classified as Mythos-class, exceeds Mythos 5 on internal measures, and is heavily used inside Anthropic, while earlier reports pointed to an August Fable update. A short-notice public launch is therefore likely, although a quiet delay remains a meaningful possibility.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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