Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Flanagan is likely to win the Democratic nomination because she holds the party endorsement and leads in the larger pre-primary poll, though a tied survey keeps uncertainty alive.

Flanagan secured the Minnesota DFL endorsement in late May 2026, giving her institutional support, while Craig skipped the convention to force an August 11 primary. A PPP poll conducted July 23-24 among 672 likely Democratic primary voters showed Flanagan leading 46% to 32%, with 22% unsure, and her net favorability at +32, indicating broad party support. By contrast, a KSTP/SurveyUSA poll showed the race tied at 40%-40% with roughly 16% undecided, contradicting the PPP lead and confirming real competitiveness. The primary is scheduled for August 11, polls close at 8 p.m., and no results have been reported or certified. Because the endorsement usually carries weight in Democratic primaries and the PPP survey is larger and more recent, Flanagan is the clear favorite, but the conflicting survey and significant undecided share prevent certainty. The resolution depends on the actual vote, and with only three days remaining, the expectation is that the outcome will become clear quickly after election night, with dynamics favoring confirmation of Flanagan's lead rather than a reversal.