Will Bitcoin be at or above $78,250 on Sep 3?
Signal ended
Entry · NO50¢
PublishedSep 3
Sep 3 forecast
Bitcoin remains below the threshold after failing to reach it intraday, so a September 3 settlement at or above $78,250 is unlikely but still live.
Bitcoin is only 0.63% below the strike with under ten hours remaining, keeping the outcome live. However, same-day price readings and reported intraday highs remain below $78,250, while weak spot demand and immediate resistance around the threshold favor a lower settlement. The intraday recovery and Bitcoin’s capacity for sharp moves leave a credible but secondary path above the strike.
Points to NO
- Bitcoin’s latest supplied price reading and its reported intraday high were both below $78,250.At 13:14:50 UTC on September 3, Bitcoin traded at $77,601, and its reported 24-hour high was $77,831.
- The settlement threshold sits near the upper edge of immediate resistance.On September 3, immediate Bitcoin resistance was identified between $77,700 and $78,300.
- Reported spot buying power has weakened ahead of settlement.By September 3, Bitcoin’s apparent-demand indicator had turned negative.
Points to YES
- Bitcoin has already demonstrated an intraday rebound from nearby support.On September 3, Bitcoin recovered from $76,391 to above $77,240 during trading.
- Recent Kraken activity showed buyers dominating trading despite the price remaining below the strike.At 08:49:10 UTC on September 3, buyers represented 72.5% of Kraken’s reported Bitcoin trading activity over the preceding 24 hours.
Research and information only. Not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Markets involve risk, including loss of capital. Review venue rules and eligibility before trading.

