Will Bitcoin be at or above $78,250 on Sep 1?
Signal ended
Entry · YES65¢
PublishedSep 1
Sep 1 forecast
Bitcoin is currently above the threshold with less than a day remaining, so a September 1 price at or above $78,250 is likely with meaningful uncertainty.
The settlement-basis price is $78,745.098, just 0.63% above the threshold. Recent readings have repeatedly crossed $78,250 in both directions, showing that the cushion could disappear quickly. The short remaining window makes a finish above $78,250 more likely, while recent intraday lows and the unspecified observation convention leave meaningful uncertainty.
Points to YES
- Bitcoin currently has a narrow lead over the required price.On September 1, the settlement-basis Bitcoin price was $78,745.098, above the $78,250 threshold.
- Buyers have recently reversed brief breaks below $78,000.On August 31, Bitcoin reclaimed $78,500 in just over 30 minutes after another dip below $78,000.
- Strong recent momentum has carried Bitcoin into the threshold zone.As of August 31, Bitcoin had gained roughly 22.7% over 14 days and 23.4% over 30 days.
Points to NO
- Recent intraday volatility is large enough to erase the current cushion.Bitcoin reached an August 31 session low of $77,024 after falling below $78,000 twice by 8:45 a.m. Eastern.
- Recent investment flows provide a cautionary demand signal.U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $201.9 million in net outflows on August 28, ending nine consecutive inflow days.
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