Will Bitcoin be at or above $78,750 on Aug 31?
Signal ended
Entry · NO76¢
PublishedAug 31
Aug 31 forecast
Bitcoin sits 1.02% below $78,750 with only 6.5 hours remaining, so an August 31 settlement at or above the threshold is unlikely but still live.
The settlement-basis price is $77,956.21, and the latest supplied readings across major exchanges were all below $78,750. Recent declines and fresh spot ETF outflows add downward pressure with little time left. However, Bitcoin traded above the threshold earlier on August 31, so another sharp intraday rebound remains possible. Overall, an August 31 settlement at or above $78,750 is unlikely but still live.
Points to NO
- The latest broad exchange snapshot placed Bitcoin below $78,750 across every listed platform.At approximately 10:40–10:42 UTC on August 31, all listed BTC/USD last trades ranged from $78,352.96 to $78,576, below the threshold.
- Bitcoin entered settlement day with negative short-term momentum.On August 30, Bitcoin fell 2.1% over 24 hours to $78,592.
- Spot Bitcoin ETF flows turned negative after a sustained run of inflows.On August 30, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded outflows after nine consecutive days of inflows.
Points to YES
- Bitcoin has already demonstrated enough intraday range to cross $78,750 on settlement day.Bitcoin's reported 24-hour high on August 31 was $79,316.05, above the threshold.
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