Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026?
October WTI is above $90.49 after two consecutive settlements over the threshold, so an above-threshold September 4 settlement is likely with meaningful uncertainty.
The current WTI reading of $90.7857 is above the $90.49 threshold, and the previous two settlements also cleared it. That positioning makes an above-threshold settlement more likely, while same-day readings below $90 and resistance around $90–$92 show that a reversal remains plausible. Conflict-related shipping risks support prices, but recovering Gulf exports and strong expected U.S. production constrain the upside.
- The current WTI reading remains above the strike, putting the contract on the YES side with only a narrow cushion.On September 4, WTI stood at $90.7857 against the $90.49 threshold with several hours remaining before settlement.
- The latest completed settlement cleared the threshold, extending WTI’s recent rebound.On September 3, U.S. crude futures settled at $91.30 per barrel, above $90.49.
- Continued military enforcement against Iran sustains the risk of disrupted commercial oil flows.By September 3, U.S. forces had redirected 87 commercial vessels, disabled three and boarded two while enforcing the blockade against Iran.
- Same-day trading has already moved below the threshold, demonstrating substantial reversal risk.During the September 4 Asian session, WTI traded below $90.00.
- Recovering Gulf shipments reduce the scarcity pressure supporting crude prices.By August 27, Kuwait and Qatar had restored oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz to 70% of pre-conflict levels.
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