QuotientQuotientQuotient

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution+41%$100 paper stake
Polymarket71¢ 100¢
Our position · YES71¢ 100¢
Signal endedSep 1
Forecast updatedSep 1
Aug 28 forecast

Reported live routing and intensifying launch preparations point to an imminent rollout, so a new publicly available Mythos-class model by the deadline is likely.

Several late-stage signals now converge on Fable 5.1: users report quiet routing to a distinct model, backend preparations appear active, and temporary checkpoints have undergone limited testing. Anthropic previously designated public Fable 5 as Mythos-class, providing a clear route for a safeguarded Fable successor to qualify. The main weaknesses are the absence of official confirmation and disclosures that a stronger internal model lacked completed release evaluations. On balance, an imminent public Fable update is likely, but failed timing reports or a testing rollback could quickly weaken that conclusion.

Points to YES
Points to NO

Research and information only. Not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Markets involve risk, including loss of capital. Review venue rules and eligibility before trading.

A Quotient Signal is available to members. · Quotient Signals