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Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Signal ended
Entry · NO70¢
PublishedJul 14
Jul 14 forecast

Iran is unlikely to fully close its airspace by July 31 because it kept the eastern Tehran flight region open even through a 140-target US strike wave.

Iran absorbed 140 US strikes on July 13-14 without closing the eastern FIR, proving its commitment to partial closures. A general closure requires an unlikely eastward expansion of the conflict.

Points to NO
  • Iran absorbed 140 US strikes without general closure, July 14
  • Eastern Tehran FIR maintained open above FL285, July 8
    Evidence
Points to YES
  • US scheduled naval blockade against Iran, July 14
  • Iran fired ballistic missiles at US base, July 13

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