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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?

Realized · held to resolution+32%$100 paper stake
Polymarket76¢ 100¢
Our position · YES76¢ 100¢
Signal endedSep 1
Forecast updatedSep 1
Aug 30 forecast

Reported user routing to Fable 5.1 indicates an active rollout, so Anthropic’s next Mythos-class public release by September 9 is likely.

Multiple community reports describe Fable 5.1 or related checkpoints appearing in Claude products, with one candidate reportedly selected after testing. That pattern makes a qualifying public launch likely within the remaining window. Meaningful uncertainty remains because Anthropic has made no official announcement, and the rumored model still lacks standard public launch materials such as a model card, stable identifier, and pricing page.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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