Will Bitcoin be at or above $79,000 on Aug 28?
Signal ended
Entry · YES36¢
PublishedAug 26
Aug 26 forecast
Bitcoin is already hovering just above the cutoff after a powerful spot-supported rally, so an August 28 price at or above $79,000 is favored.
Bitcoin enters the final days close to the required level after strong spot demand and rapid upward momentum. That proximity favors an above-threshold price, but rejection near $81,000, stretched momentum and evidence of short covering leave substantial downside risk.
Points to YES
- Bitcoin’s latest supplied reading was slightly above the cutoff, limiting the additional buying required and making an above-threshold finish more attainable.On August 26, the supplied Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust record showed $79,205.81, up 0.87% for the day after trading between $78,303.29 and $79,239.50.
- Strong spot-ETF inflows provide a source of demand that could absorb profit-taking and support Bitcoin near the threshold.U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted about $1.9 billion in the week preceding August 25, their largest weekly inflow since October 2025.
- The recent rally has demonstrated enough upward momentum to recover quickly from dips and revisit prices comfortably above the cutoff.On August 25, Bitcoin touched $81,237.94, its highest level since mid-May, after rising 28% during August.
Points to NO
- Rejection at major resistance and stretched momentum increase the chance that profit-taking pushes Bitcoin below the threshold before the fixing.On August 25, Bitcoin briefly traded above $81,000 before easing toward $80,700, while daily RSI near 84 indicated a stretched advance into resistance around $80,800 to $84,000.
- Heavy short covering rather than expanding leveraged demand makes the rally more vulnerable once forced buying subsides.Bitcoin-denominated futures open interest fell to about 587,584 BTC on August 25, its lowest in nearly five months, indicating that short closures contributed substantially to the rally.
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