Kentucky Wildcats won35vs.South Carolina Gamecocks34

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Sep 26 forecast

Kentucky’s resurgent rushing attack offsets South Carolina’s home field and series streak, so a Kentucky victory is roughly as likely as not.

Kentucky enters the matchup with stronger recent form, including an impressive road win at Texas A&M and a dominant rushing performance against South Alabama. South Carolina counters with home-field advantage and four consecutive victories in the series. Both teams have also shown costly turnover problems, making a close game more plausible than a decisive result. Kentucky’s deeper rushing production provides the slight edge, but South Carolina’s recovering defenders could disrupt that advantage.

Points to Kentucky

Kentucky’s rushing depth gives it several ways to control possession and reduce pressure on its quarterback.
On Sept. 26, Kentucky produced 390 net rushing yards against South Alabama, with three backs each surpassing 100 yards.
Kentucky has already demonstrated that its offense can succeed on the road against strong opposition.
On Sept. 19, Kentucky beat then-No. 9 Texas A&M 31-21 at Kyle Field as Kenny Minchey completed 14 of 18 passes for 252 yards and two touchdowns.
South Carolina has struggled to protect leads and prevent turnovers from becoming immediate points.
On Sept. 19, South Carolina lost 41-34 to Mississippi State after leading 16-0, with two LaNorris Sellers interceptions directly producing 10 points.

Points to South Carolina

South Carolina’s home field and sustained control of the series present a substantial obstacle for Kentucky.
As of Sept. 21, South Carolina had won four consecutive meetings with Kentucky, including the previous two by margins of 22 and 25 points.
Kentucky remains vulnerable to self-inflicted mistakes despite its improving results.
On Sept. 26, Kentucky muffed a punt, failed twice on fourth down and lost linebacker Elijah ‘Bo’ Barnes to a targeting ejection in the first half against South Alabama.

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