Will Bitcoin be at or above $79,500 on Sep 4?

Bitcoin sits only 0.31% below the strike after repeatedly clearing it, so a September 4 price at or above $79,500 is favored but far from guaranteed.

Bitcoin has retreated below $79,500, but the gap is small and the asset traded above $81,000 earlier on September 4. That demonstrated ability to cross the strike makes an above-threshold settlement the more likely outcome. Still, weak demand readings, recent fund outflows, profit-taking and sharp two-way volatility leave substantial risk of a late drop below the line.