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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

Realized · 7-day hold+46%$100 paper stake
Polymarket60¢ 88¢
Our position · YES60¢ 88¢
Signal endedAug 28
Forecast updatedAug 28
Aug 21 forecast

A stronger Mythos-class successor already exists internally, so its qualifying public release by September 30 is highly likely.

The next candidate is already in internal use and reportedly exceeds the previous Mythos-class model, leaving evaluation and launch preparation rather than core development. Anthropic has also demonstrated a rapid recent release cadence and a workable path for offering a safeguarded Mythos-class model publicly. The major tension is that Model 2 has incomplete evaluations, no external-release plan, and no visible launch announcement. Even with those obstacles, a compressed rollout remains the most likely path before the deadline.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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